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Insights & Posts

Raízen: Creditor Pressure Escalates

Banks are pushing Cosan for better terms. Moody's has issued a second downgrade. The Cosan–Shell–BTG triangle has collapsed. And a potential debt haircut and ownership restructuring are now explicitly on the table. This update reviews what has changed, what it means for the four sustainability pillars, and what the next 60 days will determine.

5 Apr 2026

BayWa's €3 Billion Crisis

A 102-year-old German agricultural conglomerate, a collapsed renewable energy divestment, a criminal probe, a BaFin reprimand, a departing CEO — and a €2.7 billion hole in the original restructuring plan. A four-pillar sustainability analysis of one of Europe's most complex ongoing corporate restructurings.

30 Mar 2026

SIJ Group's €330m Refinancing

Slovenia's largest steel group has bought itself time. Whether it has bought itself a future is a different, and far more important, question. A four-pillar sustainability analysis of Europe's most politically sensitive industrial restructuring of early 2026.

20 Mar 2026

Raízen's $12.6 Billion Gamble

Brazil's largest-ever out-of-court restructuring carries genuine promise — and equally genuine risk. A four-pillar analysis of what works, what worries, and what the market is missing.

19 Mar 2026

Northvolt's Struggle: From Electrifying Green Ambitions to a Liquidity Crisis, and the Road Ahead

Ambition and innovation are vital, but only when paired with rigorous planning, collaboration, and pragmatic leadership.

11 Jan 2025

Trust no one

Restructuring in Russia faces challenges due to lack of trust, short-term planning, and discredited parties. Effective solutions require independent consultants to ensure unbiased assessments and foster cooperation between banks and borrowers.

8 Oct 2020

"Rules of conduct" in difficult situations

"Rules of thumb" for banks working with a distress situation include creation of a tailored system for working with distressed assets, creation of a competent team and working with professional independent service providers

19 Sept 2016

Unprincipled restructuring

Conflicts between borrowers and creditors in Russia highlight the need for structured approaches like the "London Approach" and INSOL Principles, especially during crises. These principles, though rarely applied, could improve negotiation outcomes.

5 Feb 2016

First Aid in crisis times

To manage a crisis, control cash flow and assess the situation to avoid complications. Strengthen management teams and avoid panic. Future actions depend on the initial response's success, leading to project adjustments or business model changes.

30 Nov 2015

How to build a financial model

Many misunderstand the purpose of financial modeling in debt settlement... The true objective is to evaluate prospects, explore options, and facilitate negotiations rather than merely creating a calculator.

23 Oct 2015

When you do not restructure

After a decade in consulting, I joined banking industry to manage distressed assets, learning that effective recovery involves strategic decision-making and adaptability.

7 Oct 2015

Crisis? Nope, Never Heard of It!

Crisis management is vital for CEOs; proactive planning, quick action, and cash flow control are essential.

9 Sept 2014

Leading Through Crisis: Practical Insights for Business Recovery

"Effective leadership during crises is vital for recovery. Key strategies include staying calm, transparent communication, decisiveness, team empowerment, and adaptability. Resilience fosters a culture that helps organizations recover stronger."

4 Sept 2014

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